Tuesday, January 16, 2018

Topps Has a Surprise For Collectors in the 2017 Transcendent Collection Party Aaron Judge Topps History Set.

Earlier Topps announced that it would be providing a set of Aaron Judge cards, based on the 1/1 Topps History autograph card found in cases of 2017 Topps Transcendent, to collectors with invites to the Hank Aaron Transcendent Collection Party in Atlanta. That 87 card set has a print run of #/87.

We already covered this set, and how much we thought it would sell for on the aftermarket in our article “Bold Prediction About the 2017 Topps Transcendent Collection Party Topps History Aaron Judge Card Set”  With just early pre-sales, this set is pacing to sell at $9,759.64 on average. But a new development could kick that number up substantially.

What was not made official until collectors started looking at those sets is each set contains one card that is a 1/1 Aaron Judge relic card.

 Relic 1/1                               Card #/87

It seems these cards also have MLB Authentications stickers to ID which piece of Memorablia was used as the relic swatch. 

For example the 1992 Topps History card pictured above leads to this Authentication identification.

It’s a swatch from a Aaron Judge game used jersey worn 6/12/17 and 6/16/17 and that leads to another level of verification seen here.

Judge hit a Home Run both times he wore this jersey. How cool is that?!?

Friday, January 12, 2018

Bold Prediction About the 2017 Topps Transcendent Collection Party Topps History Aaron Judge Card Set

I’ve been tracking the cards pulled from cases of this year’s release of Topps Transcendent on our 2017 Topps Transcendent Baseball Cards Checklist and Card Tracker. It’s been fun hunting down all the pulls, watching the breaks and getting to know some of the private collectors that have been buying cases “off the grid.” 
In the process I was hoping to purchase an invitation to the VIP Experience with Hank Aaron in Atlanta. Meeting Mr. Aaron and getting an autograph from him in person would have been a thrill. I was budgeting the trip based on last year’s prices when invites could be easily obtained for around $2,000. This year proved out of the question as invites were too hard to find and selling for around $4,500. They were gone almost as soon as they were listed.
Close to the RSVP deadline Topps announced they would be giving out an 87 card set of Topps History Aaron Judge Cards #/87 based on the 1/1 Autographs found in Transcendent cases. That’s when it clicked for me that if I could find a last minute invite, I could sell off the Judge set after the party to fund part of the trip. As a huge Yankees fan this had me conflicted, but I was willing to do it to make the trip happen. After all, my motivation was to meet Mr. Aaron and get his autograph. But how much of my trip would that set cover? What would that set be worth?
I started looking at sales of the Kris Bryant cards around the time of the party last year. I looked at his base card from 2016 Transcendent and his cards that were given out at the Transcendent Party to see if I could find some comps which could help me place a value.
At this time last year, which would put it in a comparable time frame with sales for this year, the Kris Bryant Party cards were selling for $55 to $100 a card. The 2016 Topps Transcendent Kris Bryant base cards were selling for between $108 to $150 a card. If you percentage that out, that means a worst case scenario of the party cards were holding 30% of the value of the base with best case scenario being 92% of the base. That’s entirely too big of a swing to effectively place a value, but if you start to use the averages of 48% to 67% of value, that starts to become closer to the actual sales numbers. At 48% of value of the base card you are looking at $51.84 for a Party card on the low end. At 67% value it’s $100.50 a card high end, which tracks eBay sales nicely.
What does this mean for this year’s set. Looking at what Aaron Judge’s base cards from this year’s Transcendent are going for reconfirmed the true magnitude of what Aaron Judge has meant to collecting baseball cards in 2017. The sales for his Transcendent base cards are ranging from $305 to $445. That’s not a typo. That's about 3 times what collectors were paying for Bryant’s base cards. In certain instances, Judge’s base cards are selling for more than his autograph cards. 
Applying the same percentages used for Bryant allows me to predict Judge's Party cards could sell for between $146.40 on the low end to $298.15 on the high end. 
And the beauty of this set is there are 22 more cards than last year, 87 Judge cards vs. 65 Bryant cards. Averaging out the cards makes it entirely possible this set could be valued as high as $19,337.93, maybe even more for first to market. Perhaps this is why invitations were so hard to get. 
If you are in the market for the Judge Party cards and see them listed as Buy It Now for less than $140 a card for a common year, or less than $300 for the marquee years, you might want to grab them. Someone is leaving money on the table to move them, or doesn’t understand their true value. Same goes for a complete set like these. (follow the link) Anything under a worst case scenario of $12,700 could be a bargain if these take off.
Either way I will be following sales closely. A Judge Party Card tracker may be in order. And one last thing to remember, These will be the last official RC rookie cards released for Judge.

Tuesday, January 9, 2018

2017 Bowman Draft Baseball Cards Jumbo Box Break

Here is our SPEED-break of 2017 Bowman Draft Baseball Cards. This Jumbo box contains 12 packs with 32 cards a pack and 3 autos in the box.

If you want to find any of the cards that were pulled from this box, make sure you follow this link.

Enjoy the break.

Monday, January 8, 2018

Shohei Ohtani Signs A Long-Term Trading Card and Autograph Deal with Topps

Justin Verlander on the mound, Babe Ruth at bat. That’s how some are describing incoming Japanese sensation Shohei Ohtani. Many MLB teams fought to get the 23 year old, but the Los Angeles Angels won the battle. He is sure to become one of the hottest rookies of the season and collectors will be looking for his cards as soon as possible, but they won’t have to wait long. Topps has signed Ohtani to a trading card and long-term autograph deal for the upcoming MLB season.

Topps already issued an Ohtani card in the Target Exclusive 2017 Bowman Chrome Mega Box and a 2017 Topps Now card on December 14th that had a print run of 17,323 cards. If you missed either of those and still want one, you can follow this link to try to pick one up.

His first pack-pulled trading card will appear in late spring, just in time for Ohtani to join the Los Angeles Angels in Spring Training. His cards will be featured in Topps products throughout the year, including autographed cards.

The Angels are already hinting they might use Ohtani in a six player pitching rotation and move Albert Pujols back to first to open up the DH position to allow Shohei to bat on his days off the mound. If he produces in the way he has in Japan, 624 strikeouts in 543 career innings and a batting average of .322 with 30 home runs and 98 RBI in 169 games, Ohtani will have some of the most highly coveted baseball cards and collectibles on the market in 2018. Topps will be the only company to produce his officially licensed MLB trading cards.

If you haven't already, you can follow Topps on Twitter (@topps), Instagram (@topps) and Facebook (@topps) for the latest updates and see the first images of Ohtani’s rookie cards. We will be sure to share them too here on the site when they become available.

Sunday, January 7, 2018

2017 Bowman Chrome Mini Complete Set and Refractor Break with a huge rookie hit

Here is our video box break of 2017 Bowman Chrome Minis. Our 3 refractor packs contained some nice cards and one outstanding rookie refractor pull.

To find available 2017 Bowman Chrome Mini make sure to follow this link.

Friday, December 29, 2017

2017 Topps Transcendent Baseball Cards Checklist and Card Tracker

At a suggested retail price of $27,000, 2017 Topps Transcendent Baseball Cards is THE most lavish, premiere, high end case of Baseball cards available. Everything about this set is premium, right down to its custom wooden case that alone, without any contents, sells for $450 on the aftermarket. If the set’s price tag is not within your reach, there are group breaks with spot entries as low as $160 that could net you an individual item from the set valued at $4,000, if not more.

We’ve been tracking as many breaks, individual postings, aftermarket sales of this year’s Transcendent to see what is out there and what might still be in unopened cases. We say might because there could be several collectors who have stashed their cases away.

Here is the complete checklist for 2017 Transcendent Baseball with links to eBay incase you want to try to pick up an item on the secondary market. Next to the item, we will keep updating when a 1/1 item gets pulled and track what we feel are the number of cases broken to date.

Cases broken - current count that we know of that we have full details on their contents is 53 and at least 9 private cases that we are waiting for a reply on for a total of at least 62 cases opened.

43 Signers this year and a change from last year’s configuration. This is each player had two different images/two different cards. this allowed numbering to stay low. Base was #/25, Silver -#/15, Purple - #/10 and two different 1/1s, a Red and a Gold. With the different images that means there are 4 possible 1/1s per player. Here is the checklist and what has been pulled. 

As a bonus to the 50 included player autos per case, 3 redemption autos are included in a side envelope. Just as with the regular signers, these redemptions are numbered to 25, 15, 10 and 2 1/1s with two versions of the cards, except for Lindsey Vonn who only signed one photo variation, which is why she is listed as having only 2 possible 1/1s.

This year’s hottest rookie, Aaron Judge, is the subject of stylized 1/1 autographs using design elements of previous Topps Baseball flagship releases. One autograph is included in each case. To bridge the gap of 87 total cases, the first 21 cards on the checklist are insert of alternative release versions of the years listed.

Another 1/1 included at the top of every case is a regular card sized, encased 1/1 hit autograph. The MVP autos have three varieties, MVP Single Signature, Dual Signature and Cut Auto.

Also on top of every case you will find one of these framed beauties. The oversize on these allows for the full signatures to be boldly displayed.

Another 1/1 offered inside each case is a original hand drawn sketch. Some of these are sketched on authenticated game used baseballs sketched by artists Mayumi Seto or Monty Sheldon. Other sketches were on cards by artist Dan Bergren that were then reproduced as one of the two sets included in each case.

These include MLB Authentication Stickers that can be used to trace the origins of these game used balls.

These are the 1/1 sketch versions, signed on the back of the card by the artist.

Every case has two sets of cards, Base and Sketch Reproductions, numbered to #/87 with the numbering matching to the number found on the wooden case.